BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Michigan St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 48 Conference: Big 10 Record: (8-11) Overall: (16-14) Overall Strength =   56.43

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    66.62  86  37    1 343 (  7- 18) Delaware St             6.47 *   42.53                      
  2 11-10-2022 Home    W    60.24  85  53    1 249 ( 14- 18) PFW                     0.09 *   31.91                      
  3 11-13-2022 Home    W    78.28  97  49    1 233 ( 12- 17) Western Michigan       18.13 *   29.87                      
  4 11-15-2022 Home    W    71.96  85  39    1 273 ( 13- 17) Oakland                11.81 *   34.19                      
  5 11-17-2022 Home    W    83.66 109  44    1 339 (  6- 23) Florida A&M            23.50 *   41.50                      
  6 11-19-2022 Away    W    61.31  84  54    1 275 (  6- 23) Central Michigan        1.15 *   28.85                      
  7 11-24-2022 Neutral L    34.52  49  80    1  13 ( 19-  9) Iowa St               -25.64     -5.36                      
  8 11-27-2022 Neutral L    56.26  78  86    1  23 ( 17- 14) Oregon                 -3.89     -4.11                      
  9 12-01-2022 Home    L    45.78  63  66    1  72 ( 13- 17) Georgia Tech          -14.38     11.38                      
 10 12-05-2022 Home    L *  50.18  71  76 1  1  45 ( 19- 10) Purdue                 -9.97      4.97                      
 11 12-11-2022 Away    L *  62.00  68  74    1  15 ( 25-  7) Ohio St                 1.85     -7.85                      
 12 12-18-2022 Home    W    67.85  91  41    1 318 (  5- 25) Detroit                 7.69 *   42.31                      
 13 12-20-2022 Home    W    73.21  98  50    1 279 ( 15- 14) Prairie View           13.05 *   34.95                      
 14 12-29-2022 Home    W *  74.94  83  78    1   3 ( 27-  3) Indiana                14.78     -9.78                      
 15 01-02-2023 Away    W *  53.93  71  64    1 108 (  9- 21) Northwestern           -6.22     13.22                      
 16 01-07-2023 Away    L *  59.83  85  94    1  11 ( 25-  6) Maryland               -0.32     -8.68                      
 17 01-11-2023 Home    L *  40.04  80  84 1  1  94 ( 11- 20) Wisconsin             -20.11     16.11                      
 18 01-14-2023 Away    L *  50.41  55  70    1  22 ( 22-  9) Michigan               -9.75     -5.25                      
 19 01-18-2023 Home    L *  65.39  81  84 1  1   6 ( 26-  6) Iowa                    5.24     -8.24                      
 20 01-22-2023 Home    W *  60.11  85  63    1 135 ( 12- 20) Rutgers                -0.04     22.04                      
 21 01-29-2023 Away    L *  51.20  76  86    1  44 ( 22-  9) Illinois               -8.95     -1.05                      
 22 02-02-2023 Away    L *  57.70  67  71    1  39 ( 16- 14) Nebraska               -2.45     -1.55                      
 23 02-05-2023 Home    L *  50.28  67  77    1  22 ( 22-  9) Michigan               -9.87     -0.13                      
 24 02-08-2023 Away    W *  74.17  88  63    1  94 ( 11- 20) Wisconsin              14.01     10.99                      
 25 02-12-2023 Home    W *  52.78  81  75 1  1  87 ( 14- 17) Penn St                -7.38     13.38                      
 26 02-18-2023 Home    L *  58.71  61  66    1  11 ( 25-  6) Maryland               -1.44     -3.56                      
 27 02-22-2023 Home    W *  48.12  71  67    1 101 ( 11- 19) Minnesota             -12.03     16.03                      
 28 02-25-2023 Away    W *  66.90  80  65    1  87 ( 14- 17) Penn St                 6.74      8.26                      
 29 03-02-2023 Away    W *  64.70  67  64    1  39 ( 16- 14) Nebraska                4.55     -1.55                      
 30 03-03-2023 Neutral L *  63.50  85  94    1   3 ( 27-  3) Indiana                 3.34    -12.34                      
      Averages              60.15  78.2 67.1

Best game:   83.66 = 65 point win over Florida A&M
Worst game:  34.52 = 31 point loss to Iowa St
Team stdev:  11.32